A very scary prediction!!!

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My little 13 yo niece didnt know it was illegal to download mp3s from limewire. She honestly thought I was teasing her, lines like oh yeah, why do they sell mp3 players and everyone does it, I cant afford cds. Now she knows but I wish I hadnt spoilt it for her.
 
I'd like to think that the worst it could get would be to release albums on flash memory chips (uncompressed) as these are increasing in capacity and decreasing in price at about the same rate.

On day I'll see how much uncompressed music I can cram onto one of my camera's 2 gig cards.
 
uncompressed? a standard cd completely full is about 72 minutes of music, that is 640MB. so about 3 CDs or 225 minutes (for 2000 MB)

44.1kHz at 16 bits in stereo is 1141 kilobits per second. Calculate away...

Now if you use Lossless compression? different story.
 
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Cellulosic Ethanol is also a dumb one. Algae can produce ethanol at a density a couple of orders of magnitude higher than any crop.

LED lights? That's stupid--they're inefficient compared to fluorescents, let alone HID. Plus, it's easy to forget that the eye likes the continuous spectrum of incandescents, not the spiky garbage produced by all other types of light, so there will always be a place for filtered incandescent light to produce daylight-equivalent lighting in many museums etc.

Electric cars? Where are you going to get enough copper to wind motors to replace all gas engines on the road? Yeah right.

Solar... by the time it pays for its production, it's not that energy cheap. Also, there will never be enough solar, wind, etc. that can produce enough energy for unrestricted progress (not to mention the 10x increase of energy use by developing and undeveloped countries as they become fully industrialized).

This whole article is nothing but more environmentalist ******** propaganda.
 
The problem is that these issues will not just g away because we don't have viable solutions for them. They are still problems that need resolving quickly. and burying our head up our own bottoms is not going to help.
Everyone likes to think that the problems aren't as big as described. Everyone also likes to believe that science is going to come prancing over the hill with a magic solution that will allow us all to carry on as if nothing had happened. Dream on. The real issues are resource over exploitation, and the real solutions are to dramatically reduce our level of consumption. A very difficult ask when we live in a world where almost the only reason to exist is to consume.

These problems are big and getting bigger by the day. I'm sorry if an environmentalist pointing that out makes you feel uncomfortable.

I don't personally think that the human race has the maturity to carry us forward into a viable future.

Shoog
 
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The solution is the will to keep an open mind to develop new technologies that are both environmental friendly (read: no more relying on natures finite resources) and at the same time economically attractive.
Cradle to Cradle is a good example.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cradle_to_Cradle:_Remaking_the_Way_We_Make_Things
If we had used the same arguments when the incandescent light bulb was developed, we still would light our homes with candles.
I see a bright future for all great minds who think outside the box and will put new know-how into practice.

/Hugo
 
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Exactly. Looking at the progress we’ve made over the past century, it looks like we are on the right track for many applications. Think of how efficient a car can be made, look at the progress in house building. Today, we are able to construct them in such a way that no or very few external energy is needed to keep us warm in the winter and fresh in the summertime.
Look how efficient we learned to communicate via email, cell phone. Think of classD amplifiers and OLed TV’s that currently find their way into our homes. All perfect examples of increased efficiency combined with better performance and price. :)

/Hugo
 
"Not to sound alarming or anything, but apparently, we've only got a decade or so before our planet runs clean out of indium...

...For those in the dark, indium is a critical resource in "creating solar cells, LCD and other devices which must have transparent electrodes to carry out their function," but the aforementioned crew has seemingly been able to take graphene ("single layer 2D sheets extracted from the common material graphite") and build an acceptable alternative. The creation is 80-percent transparent to visible light and 100-percent transparent to infrared light, which could actually lead to solar cells capable of soaking up even more energy from more of the EM spectrum. 'Course, there's no telling how close this discovery is to being commercially viable...

There has also been develpoment in LEDs they found they could increase the brightness by haveing less material between the diode and the eye.... a la nanoscale holes drilled in the houseing... yet again, a few years away from commercial release...

from Engated a week or so back

End poverty, eat the poor

The more I think about it, China's population controls seem more and more humane to me when I concider the alternative...
 
I'm not worried. I've never seen a situation fail to resolve itself one way or another. Oil will run out, and before it does, it will become too expensive and valuable as a feedstock for plastics and such, to even consider burning it. Ethanol appears to be an incredibly stupid "solution", because it takes more energy to produce it, than it provides. Solar is still in need of a breakthrough. Everybody around here is up in arms because they don't want to spoil the scenery with giant wind turbines. I didn't have major objections to them until I was driving by one and discovered the motion made me physically ill. Reliability is still a huge issue, and without government support I suspect no one would ever build one, as the economics are a bit shaky. But it doesn't matter. A technology, be it one of those, or nuclear, or something we've yet to consider, will rise to the top of the heap, and civilization will continue. Trying to predict exactly how it will happen is probably impossible.

BTW, be sure to read about the hazards of CFLs on the 'net. They use very cheap circuitry, and don't always fail gracefully. I.e., they can burn your house down. Don't put 'em in unventilated fixtures, which would be most of the ceiling fixtures in my house! Don't put them in places where they'll run unattended with nobody home.
 
I have to wonder how CD's dying (even if it were to happen) would save the world? Do these tiny slips of plastic and aluminum really represent that much of a threat? It's not like anyone buys them only to toss by the dozen into landfills. Not like milk cartons or packaging or planned-obsolete consumer electronics, or corporate chochkey, or any of a million other things.
 
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