It will be incentive to break out the vinyl and finish off the vacuum tube projects.
With no grid, how will you get power for the equipment?
Look at the Mad Max movies, they depict civilization after a nuclear conflict.
Solar, wind, animal dung based natural gas (bio-gas), those sources will be useful in such a time.
As for conflicts, China has its own issues internally, and the threat to Taiwan may be just a threat, the situation has been as is since the establishment of Taiwan as a nation.
I would not panic about it, as it would be swiftly invite a strong response from its allies.
At times, I wonder if this sort of thing is cooked up by idle people in intoxicated condition, as a method to scare people, or to manipulate the markets.
Moderators, please remove / edit this post if you feel it is not allowed by forum rules.
Look at the Mad Max movies, they depict civilization after a nuclear conflict.
Solar, wind, animal dung based natural gas (bio-gas), those sources will be useful in such a time.
As for conflicts, China has its own issues internally, and the threat to Taiwan may be just a threat, the situation has been as is since the establishment of Taiwan as a nation.
I would not panic about it, as it would be swiftly invite a strong response from its allies.
At times, I wonder if this sort of thing is cooked up by idle people in intoxicated condition, as a method to scare people, or to manipulate the markets.
Moderators, please remove / edit this post if you feel it is not allowed by forum rules.
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Since I can't figure out how to stock up on gasoline, I'm going to stock up on the second best thing: used Michelin tires.
I gather from post #1 that Jan is concerned about a local conflict between China and Taiwan affecting the availability of semiconductors, hence my reply in post #3.
In case of a large-scale nuclear conflict, we will all be dead within a year or so, so there is not much point to stock up on semiconductors. I'd rather stock up on suicide pills then, to put me, my partner and my cat out of our misery if we don't die immediately.
In case of a large-scale nuclear conflict, we will all be dead within a year or so, so there is not much point to stock up on semiconductors. I'd rather stock up on suicide pills then, to put me, my partner and my cat out of our misery if we don't die immediately.
If not in good quantity it would be prudent to have small number of important chips anyway.
I wonder what will happen to genuine power output devices, driver transistors etc. as I may build a ~100w amplifier in near future ?
Regards
There is one change: the USA is now blocking the export of extreme ultraviolet light litography equipment to China, while Taiwan has it up and running. ASML would love to sell their latest stuff to both China and Taiwan, but they can't because of the USA.
I was referring to post WWII, when Taiwan was established as a separate country.
The irony is that many Taiwan based companies have large factories in China...
Gigabyte, Biostar, MSI, are Taiwanese companies with large factories in China.
That is just an example, no ties to anybody named.
The irony is that many Taiwan based companies have large factories in China...
Gigabyte, Biostar, MSI, are Taiwanese companies with large factories in China.
That is just an example, no ties to anybody named.
No...
Chiang Kai Shek led a break away faction of the ruling party, fled to Taiwan and the rest is history...which you can look up.
To say more is political, against forum rules.
Bear in mind that this happened more than 70 years ago, and what was then high technology, is obsolete now.
And many things like CDs have been invented later, and scrapped...
So I do not think Taiwan has something China wants badly, it is just an occasional show of strength.
Taiwan is moving its slog manufacturing work out of the country, just like Japan, it is very expensive to live there, and is focusing more on the knowledge side.
At least that is my impression, which may be different from yours.
Chiang Kai Shek led a break away faction of the ruling party, fled to Taiwan and the rest is history...which you can look up.
To say more is political, against forum rules.
Bear in mind that this happened more than 70 years ago, and what was then high technology, is obsolete now.
And many things like CDs have been invented later, and scrapped...
So I do not think Taiwan has something China wants badly, it is just an occasional show of strength.
Taiwan is moving its slog manufacturing work out of the country, just like Japan, it is very expensive to live there, and is focusing more on the knowledge side.
At least that is my impression, which may be different from yours.
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Jan,
It is VERY simple.
If China dares, and they just might in a few years, it WILL be WW3.
So use your 500USD for your enjoyment today (may also be electronics).
Don't bother to stock up anything.
The rest I don't comment.
You know I am well informed.
Cheers,
Patrick
It is VERY simple.
If China dares, and they just might in a few years, it WILL be WW3.
So use your 500USD for your enjoyment today (may also be electronics).
Don't bother to stock up anything.
The rest I don't comment.
You know I am well informed.
Cheers,
Patrick
That might be this article:
https://www.theregister.com/2022/10/19/the_great_semiconductor_drought_may/
Cars are back to ready delivery here, with even festive season discounts, at a time of high demand.
Cars booked for six months delivery showed up after a month in July, Hyundai Aura, friend got one.
He was told November!
And the papers are full of ads, incentives in peak season...
So yes, parts shortages have eased a lot..
Cars booked for six months delivery showed up after a month in July, Hyundai Aura, friend got one.
He was told November!
And the papers are full of ads, incentives in peak season...
So yes, parts shortages have eased a lot..
Staying on the topic and given that your post describes a hypothesis of the near future I was based exclusively on that hypothesis and I'll deliberately ignore any reference to the involved Nations and to their not only economic policies.
Hi Jan,
I understood very well and I know very well that you don't want to do it for money and you don't want to profiteer with electronic components, mine was only an extreme example since if we are in the situation we are in, it is undoubtedly because of world legitimate speculation, above the heads of normal people.
I was referring to the behavior of people - who does matter - and that can improve or worsen things depending on how it is addressed.
The best behavior would be as if everything around it was normal and it is not to buy up of electronic components by a large number of people for fear of not finding them in the future and not to be overcome by fear otherwise there is a risk of behaving like speculators.
And as far as I know the speculation has never improved things for the normal people.
Only my opinions.
You are very right but unfortunately it does not work that way. I notice many to buy small silver and gold bars. People feel things are going on but they can't get a grip on it so they do something. Like the toilet paper hype at the start of Covid.
As I see behavioral changes (are they?) I ask people what they think is going on and the answers almost always point to incertainty for the future and sorrows about being able to stay in their house as "something is happening". Many also feel life won't go back to what is was before Covid so about 2018/2019. What I hear very often is to spend money today on stuff you know you would need in a few years so a new kitchen etc.
In my youth I saw improvement and things were going up and were better than before for decades. Today many things start to be worse than they were before. One should not bother too much but the issues at at various levels in various fields and are already having impact. It can be difficult not to bother when the energy to warm your house, fuel for your car, the rent for the house AND food are becoming more expensive. Of course this is all going in waves in history but I happened to be born on a good point in time. This combined with parents that had known war, hardship, poverty and such so they raised their children to always keep in mind things can go bad any moment. Imagine youth that was born 17, 18 years ago and their way of coping with hardship (0).
One just knows there are severe issues when politicians start to pay attention to flies on the walls instead of seeing the elephant standing there. All the devotion to gender laws for instance for about 0.03% of the population says enough.
As I see behavioral changes (are they?) I ask people what they think is going on and the answers almost always point to incertainty for the future and sorrows about being able to stay in their house as "something is happening". Many also feel life won't go back to what is was before Covid so about 2018/2019. What I hear very often is to spend money today on stuff you know you would need in a few years so a new kitchen etc.
In my youth I saw improvement and things were going up and were better than before for decades. Today many things start to be worse than they were before. One should not bother too much but the issues at at various levels in various fields and are already having impact. It can be difficult not to bother when the energy to warm your house, fuel for your car, the rent for the house AND food are becoming more expensive. Of course this is all going in waves in history but I happened to be born on a good point in time. This combined with parents that had known war, hardship, poverty and such so they raised their children to always keep in mind things can go bad any moment. Imagine youth that was born 17, 18 years ago and their way of coping with hardship (0).
One just knows there are severe issues when politicians start to pay attention to flies on the walls instead of seeing the elephant standing there. All the devotion to gender laws for instance for about 0.03% of the population says enough.
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Well, my generation was used to getting more money, more opportunities, a better life, year by year without fail, from 1945 onwards. That stopped a decade ago, and people were surprised. They shouldn't be; if you look at history, periods of rise and decline come and go.
Dutch TV aires a series on our history in 1672, when politics was in disarray, economy was in a shambles and we were attacked by armies on three sides, 100,000 French from the South, the British fleet from the sea and a couple of German Bishops' private armies from the East.
Yet here we are 😎
Jan
Dutch TV aires a series on our history in 1672, when politics was in disarray, economy was in a shambles and we were attacked by armies on three sides, 100,000 French from the South, the British fleet from the sea and a couple of German Bishops' private armies from the East.
Yet here we are 😎
Jan
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