The Arctic has become warmer by 5 degrees. Australia has snowed.

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not quite so easy

To my understanding the fact that CO2 is a greenhouse gas is settled science. Starting from that point years ago I looked at the available records and noticed that the measured atmospheric concentration of CO2 varied with human economic activity (I.E. the rate of increase dropped during global economic slowdowns) So, based on the evidence and settled science I concluded that climate change was attributable to human activity. What am I missing here?

Hence the tautology, eh? Hmmnn... quality of the data sets, bias in reported numbers, lack of experimental controls... confounded variables in a complex system, lots of problems in this analysis. Ever design an experiment, propose an hypothesis, set criteria, carry it out, assess the quality of your work, and then defend your conclusions rigorously as if your lifeblood depended on it?

But why not? lets spend trillions of $$$$ trying to predict the future... (maybe invest in Wall Street with all this newfound insight gained from honest research, yes)? No agenda here... shout down anyone questioning the obvious truth...

I forsee Godwin's law on the horizen
 
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In a generation, when all the doubters are dead, and the environmental changes
will have become quite profound, it will be too late.
If you believe the doomsayers it's already too late.
Why all the doubters you suppose will be dead? They usually live in cold shytholes far from the riverfront ..... They will be very much alive and thriving , shooting on spot Californian trustafarians trespassing their properties. The revenge of rednecks and a glory days😀

There are more than one greenhouse gases. Do you know what those are and the amount they affect?
Nobody knows because when you google it there is this UUGGGE number of stats proving that humanoids are responsible for all CO2 and greenhouse emissions . Further further down the google results is that Co2 is only 3.7% of greenhouse gasses and hillbillies are supposedly responsible for 1.8% of that max so 0.018 change is the driving factor. It does not sound so sexy so I understand hidden agenda and I actually am ready to believe that that 0.018 is enough to bake us in some undisclosed future.

P.S . I'm ready to switch my doubter, cold redneck riviera property for a Californian water front one immediately. Feeling generous tonight so straight swap will suffice , you won't have to pay on the top to get your saving ark. Time is running out , you've got 10-12 years max and it's exactly my estimate timeline to bring back the property to livable condition - First come , first serve
 
In my country the number of the insects rise up. You can't live, there are too much.I fight with them every day. All types of insects, not just one. On land, in the air, on the water, all over. They comme over you in the house. Can you take all that insects in your countryes and escaping us from them ? 🙂)))))
 
Berkeley Earth

Discussion on this topic is almost always useless as people refuse to consider or change their minds or beliefs. I must admit when Donald Trump says climate change it is a hoax, I simply must believe it to be true. He would never lie. Same with Sean Hannity. Someone mentioned population, which is the root problem, but we will never deal with that. Let's see, on this planet we have educated people who believe that: Elvis is still alive; the earth is flat; vaccines are harmful; Jesus was white and spoke English; the Apollo moon landing was a hoax; the Holocaust was a hoax; white Americans are the superior form of humans; a pitcher can throw a rising fastball; the earth is 4,000 years old; humans rode on the back of dinosaurs; and innumerable others. All the above beliefs are utterly contrary to all fact, history and science, yet people believe them and refuse to change their mind. So continue to disagree, but things sure seem to keep getting warmer.

I posted a link to ‘demographic transition’ earlier in this thread. World population growth is slowing markedly and will settle at c. 9 billion.

Human population is large and the drain in resources significant but that does not justify that some continue to pump out GHG’s or deny GW or try to trash the (difficult) science while being funded by the very companies responsible for most of the problem.
 
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There was an excellent graph (BBC IIRC) showing the annual temperatures over the year for the last 100 or so years (they have been recording annual temperatures across multiple sites across the UK since the late 1700's - suspect most other countries in NW Europe as well).

This kind of graph is called a 'crawl chart' since it overlays each years monthly temperatures over the previous year and it plays live.

And indeed what is shows is that over the last 15 years the highest temperatures have been recorded.

Before I go on and someone crucifies me for being a climate change denier Let me say a few years ago I made a conscious change my lifestyle to reduce my IMPACT on the globe. I have downsized everything in my life.

OK that said, being trained in measurement I see many holes in these types of data.

The ground temperature stations 100 years ago used to be in rural areas. Now these temperature stations are in carparks near AC units. Also how many times have the temperature sensors been replaced, and the new one will be more accurate than the older ones, what was the temperature sensor drift, were the sensors calibrated and what was the offset. These are just a couple of questions where no data is available.


Sensors now being in built up areas Urban Heat Island Effect has a significant impact.. The proponents tell us that they correct for UHIE but release NO uncertanties around the measurements. Infact the ONLY uncertanties I have seen are from the first IPCC report where the uncertanties were larger than the anomaly. It would be like specing an amplifier and said the power output was 30watts ±45watts

CO2 is not as we have been lead to believe the largest greenhouse gas in our atmosphere. Water vapor has this mantle. Anyone who lives in a climate where it rains a lot in winter will tell you on over cast nights morning temps will be higher around 5°C. When we get a few clear winter nights here morning temps will plummet to below 0°C.

CO2 is life cycle gas used by plants to grow and photosynthesize into Oxygen. In the UK tomato farmers CO2 inject greenhouses to 1200ppm to promote fruit growth.

To me Climate Change is a multi Billion $$$$ business and people have made substantial wealth off CC.

What we should be discussing as a human race is sustainable population. This is the root of most of the problems future generations face. The Earth has a finite capacity to feed its population, all life on Earth people and animals, the more people consume the less there is for the rest of life on this planet. I guess this is a moot point as it will never happen because it does not win votes.
 
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I don’t see how you can simply point to ‘population’ as the silver bullet.

Increasing energy demand is the issue. About 15% of us on the planet consume most of the energy produced and you can’t produce energy of any kind without some sort of carbon footprint impact - not even a wind turbine because you used energy to make it in the first instance.

Bottom line is our net carbon footptint has to go down.

Regards urban island heating - most temperature increases have been verified by satellite technology. On the ground sensors simply report localized temperatures and studies have shown in the big scheme of things this has had a marginal impact in the overall global increase in temperature.

Water vapor - climate change deniers keep dredging this up. It’s highly localized, it is of very short duration and has no effect trail ie once it dissipates, it’s gone as you point out with the daytime/nighttime clear sky temperature example. Not so carbon dioxide. As I pointed out yesterday, it takes 200 000 years plus to sequestrate excess atmospheric carbon back into the ground through weathering.

Climate change is a multi- billion $$$ business but not for the reasons you believe. Going green can and should mean jobs and new industries - vested oil and coal interests are fighting that tooth and nail because ultimately their profits will go elsewhere.


Of course all these numbers and observations are nonsense to some. Everything’s a ok - just carry on as normal.
 
Bonsai, chrisb -- nice tires but ultimately you are feeding the trolls. A large part of this thread is typical nonsense, along with the usual one liner provokers etc... You've tried hard - time to let them fester!! 🙂

And anyway, like I said, it's all caused by a viral temerture rise in the space Turtle that moves the disk along...
 
I don’t see how you can simply point to ‘population’ as the silver bullet. <snip>
You are correct that 15% of us use 80-90% of the resources, But what happens when this 15% becomes 40% as the poorer nations become wealthier??

Our net carbon footprint will NEVER go down while there nearly 8 billion people on this planet consuming food, water and the privileged 15% new Iphones every year. All we can do is wait for the inevitable..

I am not a Climate Change denier I can measure the water vapour effect. There is NO scientific correlation between heating and CO2. The CO2 record from ice core sample data indicate the CO2 lagged global warming by around 700years.

The data from ground and satellite measurements do not correlate. Satellite data has the temperature trend from the lower tropospheric cooling. This was part of my study when I was trained in temperature measurement. Again the issue is what is being corrected for and these corrections can be made to fit any model.

Satellite versus Surface Estimates of Air Temperature since 1979
 
Just need Yellowstone to blow to jump start an ice age...

The warming feedback loop is well under way. Ice sheets are melting much faster than predicted. All the methane being released from previously frozen tundra will kick things into overdrive. Human practices did not change in time and developing countries will not halt progress to make up for the sins of the first world.

I hate being pessimistic but the industrial revolution has been a very destructive experiment on the human timeline. Sociopathic tendencies have no place in a technologically advanced species.
 
If you believe the doomsayers it's already too late.
Why all the doubters you suppose will be dead? They usually live in cold shytholes far from the riverfront ..... They will be very much alive and thriving , shooting on spot Californian trustafarians trespassing their properties. The revenge of rednecks and a glory days😀

Yessir......a country boy can survive! 😎

YouTube
 
modeling and generalizations

Human population is large and the drain in resources significant but that does not justify that some continue to pump out GHG’s or deny GW or try to trash the (difficult) science while being funded by the very companies responsible for most of the problem.
Strawman alert! Vast over generalizations do not further the discussion. Here's a quote from a well respected friend...

A stream flows around and over a few boulders. Throw in a cork stopper. Now, modeling this input dependent nonlinear dynamical system, in a hundred feet, tell me the location and instantaneous velocity of the stopper. You can't. Of course you can't. Now model the multifold complexity of the planet over decades, and confidently tell me my new tax rate. (Here follows a descent into obscenity. +9
 
I'm not sure what difference it makes but yes, I am aware of other gases that contribute to the greenhouse effect.
What am I missing here?
The bold part in the first quote is what you are missing.

I am not a Climate Change denier
I haven't seen anyone (here) who denies that the climate changes. The argument is what causes it and what to do about it.

I hope you realize that the site you linked is Al Gore shill site and the content was written in 2007.
 
I hope you realize that the site you linked is Al Gore shill site and the content was written in 2007.

The argument is just as valid today as it was in 2007. The "lag" argument is fairly old and has been addressed and discussed for a long time now.

If you don't like the website, a very short google short will provide you with dozens. Try this one, it's recent, simple but provide tons of good links: http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/i...nce-says-about-role-of-co2-in-climate-change/
 
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