What are the chances ALPS pot counterfeit?

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I'd say it's a possibility. The eBay item clearly shows solder-lugs, yet the other source shows them having pins instead.

Some research on the internet revealed blue velvet pots most likely to be from the RK27 series . RK27 seems to have pins only as there is no terminal style indicated by Alps (which they do when more than one style is available, e.g. RK163 series: "for PC board" or "lead"). Other pics I googled on RK27 or blue velvet never show lugs.
 
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