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Old 16th April 2013, 07:06 PM   #3001
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Florida? Is that in Disneyland?
it used to be, but they recently moved it to the Everglades.
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Old 16th April 2013, 07:32 PM   #3002
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it used to be, but they recently moved it to the Everglades.
Right ho, Boyo. Best place to put it. The North Koreans will never think to look in a swamp.
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Old 16th April 2013, 07:35 PM   #3003
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hahahaha! yep, those are my neighbors! I'm not actually from Florida, I just moved down here to get away from all those snobby intellectual Bostonians.
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Old 17th April 2013, 12:13 AM   #3004
Ronion is offline Ronion  United States
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Just don't cry on my shoulder if you find something 'strange'..:u sd:
Awe man! I was really hoping you we're warmer than that.

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Old 17th April 2013, 03:50 AM   #3005
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I also tend to believe expert opinions given by those I trust. If I have consistently seen or heard top quality work from someone, I am willing to trust his advice and opinions.
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Read that book and you will be embarrassed to make the statements that you made above.
Having finally* finished and reread parts of "Thinking Fast and Slow", I still don't understand Earl's statement. Nowhere in the book could I find anything that would make me embarrassed to trust advice or opinions from someone who has shown consistently good results, methods and rationality. I looked for a reason in the book, but could not find none. I remain unembarrassed.

*Nice book full of wonderful research and ideas. The editor needed a heavier hand, tho. It was somewhat repetitive and tedious. The ideas and research would have been better served with 1/3 fewer pages. Still, a good read.
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Old 17th April 2013, 12:42 PM   #3006
gedlee is offline gedlee  United States
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"Confirmation bias", "overconfidence" - recognize those traits from the book? Don't see them in yourself? Thats in the book as well.
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Old 17th April 2013, 01:15 PM   #3007
Pano is offline Pano  United States
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I saw those in the book, yes. I do see those in myself, you and others. We are all human, we are all prone to those errors. We talk about those things all the time here on the forum.

Where the book does say don't trust the experts is in prediction. I already knew how worthless the financial press is, the book confirms that and expands on it. Prediction is difficult, but it apparently pays well to be overconfident. That's how pundits earn a living. They have little, if any, accountability.
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Old 18th April 2013, 03:06 PM   #3008
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Awe man! I was really hoping you we're warmer than that.

Heck, all those smilies and not one for "I am really warm and cuddly" ?
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Old 19th April 2013, 11:29 AM   #3009
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Awe man! I was really hoping you we're warmer than that.

If you download my tractor you will definitely be in my good books!
Freesound.org - "bonfire ambio.mp3" by dwareing
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Old 10th July 2013, 11:47 PM   #3010
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Having finally* finished and reread parts of "Thinking Fast and Slow", I still don't understand Earl's statement. Nowhere in the book could I find anything that would make me embarrassed to trust advice or opinions from someone who has shown consistently good results, methods and rationality. I looked for a reason in the book, but could not find none. I remain unembarrassed.
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